Archive for July, 2023

Video tutorial: Coordination game

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In coordination games, there are two Nash equilibria. Find out why and how one of them can be selected. Learn more about economic games in the free ebooks The Economy, Unit 4.13: https://tinyco.re/TE-4-13 and ESPP, Unit 2.12: https://tinyco.re/ESPP-2-12.

CORE is a global community of learners, teachers and researchers that is transforming how economics is learned by bringing recent advances in the field to bear on societal challenges such as the future of work, climate change and inequality, using free interactive online resources and implementing the best new teaching techniques. Find out more at https://www.core-econ.org.

Carl Shulman (Pt 2) – AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future

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The second half of my 7 hour conversation with Carl Shulman is out!

My favorite part! And the one that had the biggest impact on my worldview.

Here, Carl lays out how an AI takeover might happen:

– AI can threaten mutually assured destruction from bioweapons,
– use cyber attacks to take over physical infrastructure,
– build mechanical armies,
– spread seed AIs we can never exterminate,
– offer tech and other advantages to collaborating countries, etc

Plus we talk about a whole bunch of weird and interesting topics which Carl has thought about:

– what is the far future best case scenario for humanity
– what it would look like to have AI make thousands of years of intellectual progress in a month
– how do we detect deception in superhuman models
– does space warfare favor defense or offense
– is a Malthusian state inevitable in the long run
– why markets haven’t priced in explosive economic growth
– & much more

Carl also explains how he developed such a rigorous, thoughtful, and interdisciplinary model of the biggest problems in the world.

Links

Catch part 1 here: https://youtu.be/_kRg-ZP1vQc
Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/carl-shulman-2
Apple Podcasts: https://bit.ly/3r1HBJk
Spotify: https://bit.ly/437t50c

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp
Carl’s blog: http://reflectivedisequilibrium.blogspot.com/

Sponsor

This episode is sponsored by 80,000 hours. To get their free career guide (and to help out this podcast), please visit 80000hours.org/lunar.

Timestamps

(0:00:00) – Intro
(0:00:47) – AI takeover via cyber or bio
(0:32:27) – Can we coordinate against AI?
(0:53:49) – Human vs AI colonizers
(1:04:55) – Probability of AI takeover
(1:21:56) – Can we detect deception?
(1:47:25) – Using AI to solve coordination problems
(1:56:01) – Partial alignment
(2:11:41) – AI far future
(2:23:04) – Markets & other evidence
(2:33:26) – Day in the life of Carl Shulman
(2:47:05) – Space warfare, Malthusian long run, & other rapid fire
Video Rating: / 5

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Timestamps:-
β€’ 00:00 – Introduction
β€’ 00:46 – Nervous Tissue
β€’ 3:23 – Neuron
β€’ 14:21 – Types of Neurons
β€’ 18:02 – Types of Nerve Fibres
β€’ 22:34 – Neural System
β€’ 33:28 – Nerve Impulse
β€’ 40:57 – RMP
β€’ 57:58 – Generation of Nerve Impulse
β€’ 1:05:21 – Conduction of Nerve Impulse
β€’ 1:11:26 – Transmission of Nerve Impulse
β€’ 1:21:01 – Brain
β€’ 1:26:06 – Cranial Meninges
β€’ 1:31:40 – Cerebrum
β€’ 1:57:03 – Mid Brain
β€’ 2:03:55 – Cerebellum
β€’ 2:11:17 – Spinal Cord
β€’ 2:16:28 – Autonomic Nervous system
β€’ 2:20:48 – Reflex action
β€’ 2:32:07 – Sensory Receptors
β€’ 2:39:11 – Eye
β€’ 3:00:40 – Ear

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